Sport Picks

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San Marcos vs Llacuabamba

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Sat, May 2, 2026
0 - 3
08:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Marcos host Llacuabamba in the Liga 2. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Llacuabamba have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while San Marcos have conceded 1.67 and scored 0.77. Past meetings favor San Marcos slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.32 vs 2.63, favoring Llacuabamba. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
San Marcos
30%
Draws
70%
Llacuabamba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Llacuabamba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • San Marcos haven't matched Llacuabamba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Llacuabamba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos Llacuabamba
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.77 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Llacuabamba
0:3
May 31, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Llacuabamba
3:0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs San Marcos
1:0
Jul 13, 2024 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs San Marcos
2:2
May 23, 2024 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Llacuabamba
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos 10 / 100
Llacuabamba 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos Llacuabamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llacuabamba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

San Marcos scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Llacuabamba let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Llacuabamba's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos VS Llacuabamba
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcos

(Home)
02 May
San Marcos
0 : 3
Llacuabamba
25 Apr
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 0
San Marcos
19 Apr
San Marcos
0 : 3
Pirata
03 Apr
AD Cantolao
5 : 1
San Marcos
27 Mar
San Marcos
0 : 3
Union Comercio
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Llacuabamba

(Away)
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1
Union Comercio
23 Aug
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0
Llacuabamba
08 Aug
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 15 8 5 2 16:5 29
2 Carlos Mannucci 15 8 3 4 19:12 27
3 Llacuabamba 15 7 4 4 20:10 25
4 Pirata 15 6 4 5 22:20 22
5 U. San Martin 14 5 3 6 20:17 18
6 ADA Jaen 14 4 6 4 11:12 18
7 Cesar Vallejo 14 4 4 6 11:13 16
8 AD Cantolao 15 2 5 8 16:30 11
9 San Marcos 5 0 0 5 1:17 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tacna Heroica 16 8 5 3 22:13 29
2 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 4 5 22:13 25
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 5 6 5 18:18 21
6 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
7 Ayacucho 16 5 4 7 19:21 19
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)