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San Marcos vs Santos FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Roman C.
28' Event
Romero P.
(Penalty)
31'
Sub
Llanos A. In: Mena Y.
Out: Llanos A.

AI Match Summary

Santos FC in this Liga 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
San Marcos
6%
Draws
90%
Santos FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santos FC have won more games recently than San Marcos.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Santos FC taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos Santos FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.29 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.57 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.57 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Santos FC
1:3
Aug 9, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs San Marcos
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14

Santos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Curiel M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andia R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos 10 / 100
Santos FC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos Santos FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Santos FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Santos FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: San Marcos scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos VS Santos FC
0.29 Goals Scored 1.25
3.57 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcos

(Home)
02 May
San Marcos
0 : 3
Llacuabamba
25 Apr
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 0
San Marcos
19 Apr
San Marcos
0 : 3
Pirata
03 Apr
AD Cantolao
5 : 1
San Marcos
27 Mar
San Marcos
0 : 3
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

Santos FC

(Away)
19 Jul
Santos FC
3 : 1
Binacional
28 Jun
Los Chankas
3 : 0
Santos FC
21 Jun
Santos FC
2 : 1
Ayacucho
29 May
Santos FC
0 : 1
Union Minas
23 May
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0
Santos FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cajamarca833210:814
2Moquegua833214:1113
3Cesar Vallejo832310:1011
4Tacna Heroica824211:1210
5Carlos Mannucci822415:198
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio870118:421
2Comerciantes FC823312:711
3ADA Jaen82429:910
4Santos FC831410:1110
5San Marcos81254:226
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)