Sport Picks
San Marcos vs Union Comercio
Peru
Liga 2 2025 Estadio Olimpico de San Marcos, Lima 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Union Comercio in this Liga 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Comercio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- San Marcos haven't matched Union Comercio's recent run of results.
- Model gives Union Comercio a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Union Comercio here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcos | Union Comercio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marcos Compare
Union Comercio Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
San Marcos's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Union Comercio conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.
Difficult form: Union Comercio registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcos
(Home)Union Comercio
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Cajamarca | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 2 | Moquegua | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Cesar Vallejo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 4 | Tacna Heroica | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 5 | Carlos Mannucci | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | 8 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Comerciantes FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:7 | 11 |
| 3 | ADA Jaen | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 4 | Santos FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 5 | San Marcos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:22 | 6 |
