Sport Picks

San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese

Cailungo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Marino Academy U22 play Cailungo in the Campionato Sammarinese. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Marino Academy U22 averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2 conceded. Cailungo averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, San Marino Academy U22 won 1, Cailungo won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for San Marino Academy U22 and 1.19 for Cailungo. This points to a San Marino Academy U22 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

San Marino Academy U22

32%

Draws

27%

Cailungo

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: San Marino Academy U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

San Marino Academy U22 picked up more points recently compared to Cailungo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

San Marino Academy U22 Clean Sheet 20%

Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Marino Academy U22	Cailungo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	3	2
Draws	7	5
Losses	20	23
Goals Scored	0.77	0.8
Goals Conceded	2	2.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese

San Marino Academy U22 vs Cailungo

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese

Cailungo vs San Marino Academy U22

Possession: 53% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Apr 5, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese

San Marino Academy U22 vs Cailungo

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Dec 8, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese

Cailungo vs San Marino Academy U22

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Feb 3, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese

Cailungo vs San Marino Academy U22

Possession: 48% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marino Academy U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Casadei M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Cailungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Persichilli L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino Academy U22 41 / 100

Cailungo 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Marino Academy U22 Cailungo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Marino Academy U22 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Marino Academy U22 attacking → ← attacking Cailungo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino Academy U22 scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Cailungo let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

San Marino Academy U22 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cailungo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 11

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tre Fiori	30	22	7	1	63:13	73
2	Virtus	30	22	6	2	76:20	72
3	Tre Penne	30	21	7	2	71:18	70
4	La Fiorita	30	17	11	2	64:25	57
5	Folgore	30	16	9	5	67:33	57
6	SP Domagnano	30	14	7	9	59:36	49
7	Fiorentino	30	14	4	12	37:42	46
8	SP Cosmos	30	11	9	10	30:23	42
9	Juvenes/Dogana	30	9	10	11	36:38	37
10	AC Libertas	30	9	8	13	32:63	35
11	SS Pennarossa	30	8	8	14	29:53	32
12	San Giovanni	30	7	10	13	24:43	31
13	SC Faetano	30	6	4	20	22:55	22
14	San Marino Academy U22	30	3	7	20	23:60	16
15	Cailungo	30	2	5	23	23:71	11
16	SS Murata	30	1	4	25	20:83	-2