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San Marino Academy U22 vs Fiorentino

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Marino Academy U22 play Fiorentino in the Campionato Sammarinese. Fiorentino are favorites here. Recently, San Marino Academy U22 averaged 0.77 goals scored and 2 conceded. Fiorentino averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, San Marino Academy U22 won 1, Fiorentino won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 7, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for San Marino Academy U22 and 1.50 for Fiorentino. This points to a Fiorentino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
San Marino Academy U22
15%
Draws
65%
Fiorentino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • San Marino Academy U22 picked up more points recently compared to Fiorentino.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
San Marino Academy U22 Clean Sheet 16%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marino Academy U22 Fiorentino
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.77 1.23
Goals Conceded 2 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Fiorentino
0:3
Dec 7, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs San Marino Academy U22
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs San Marino Academy U22
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Fiorentino
1:2
Feb 24, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Marino Academy U22 vs Fiorentino
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marino Academy U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Fiorentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjonaj A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino Academy U22 21 / 100
Fiorentino 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marino Academy U22 Fiorentino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiorentino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Fiorentino & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Marino Academy U22 attacking → ← attacking Fiorentino

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino Academy U22 scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Fiorentino let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

San Marino Academy U22 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Fiorentino lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 46
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2