Sport Picks

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San Marino Academy W vs Cesena W

Italy Italy

Serie B Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Marino Academy W play Cesena W in the Serie B Women. Cesena W are favorites here. Recently, San Marino Academy W averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Cesena W averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, San Marino Academy W won 1, Cesena W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for San Marino Academy W and 2.00 for Cesena W. This points to a Cesena W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
San Marino Academy W
15%
Draws
56%
Cesena W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cesena W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • San Marino Academy W picked up more points recently compared to Cesena W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
San Marino Academy W Clean Sheet 10%
Cesena W Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marino Academy W Cesena W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.47 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie B Women
Cesena W vs San Marino Academy W
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie B Women
San Marino Academy W vs Cesena W
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 Serie B Women
San Marino Academy W vs Cesena W
0:5
Sep 29, 2024 Serie B Women
Cesena W vs San Marino Academy W
4:2
Mar 3, 2024 Serie B Women
San Marino Academy W vs Cesena W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino Academy W 28 / 100
Cesena W 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marino Academy W Cesena W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesena W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Cesena W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Marino Academy W attacking → ← attacking Cesena W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino Academy W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Cesena W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

San Marino Academy W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cesena W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 59
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Como 1907 W26223172:2069
2Lumezzane W26184452:2458
3Cesena W26172763:3353
4Bologna W26134950:3843
5Freedom W26119650:4342
6RES Roma W26126852:4342
7Frosinone W26961136:4333
8Vicenza W26961133:3633
9Brescia W26951237:4332
10Arezzo W26851329:4329
11San Marino Academy W26841435:5428
12Hellas Verona W26471528:4819
13Venezia W26441830:7116
14Trastevere Calcio W26351822:5014