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San Marino (Am) vs Moldova (Am) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Regions' Cup
San Marino (Am) Logo

San Marino (Am)

Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Moldova (Am) Logo

Moldova (Am)

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the UEFA Regions' Cup. This has San Marino (Am) written all over it on paper. San Marino (Am) have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against Moldova (Am)'s 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward San Marino (Am). Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Marino (Am)
25%
Draws
35%
Moldova (Am)
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: San Marino (Am)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Marino (Am) come out ahead of Moldova (Am) on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • San Marino (Am) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
San Marino (Am) Clean Sheet 20%
Moldova (Am) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marino (Am) Moldova (Am)
Matches Played 15 10
Wins 7 3
Draws 2 3
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.53 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino (Am) 31 / 100
Moldova (Am) 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marino (Am) Moldova (Am)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marino (Am) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino (Am) scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

Recent resilience: San Marino (Am) stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marino (Am) VS Moldova (Am)
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marino (Am)

(Home)
28 Jun
Hradec Kralove Region (Am)
1 : 0
San Marino (Am)
25 Jun
San Marino (Am)
0 : 1
Aragon (Am)
23 Jun
San Marino (Am)
1 : 1
Vojvodina (Am)
19 Nov
Ljubljana (Am)
0 : 3
San Marino (Am)
16 Nov
Istanbul (Am)
0 : 2
San Marino (Am)
Page 1 of 3

Moldova (Am)

(Away)

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenica-Doboj Canton (Am) 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Tim Rhanbarthol y De (Am) 3 2 0 1 13:4 6
3 Bitola (Am) 3 1 0 2 5:14 3
4 Cilicia 3 0 0 3 3:19 0
Promotion - UEFA Regions' Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Marino (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Vojvodina (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 MNZ Ptuj (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Moldova (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - UEFA Regions' Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cheshire (Am) 3 2 1 0 8:6 7
2 Algarve (Am) 3 2 0 1 11:6 6
3 Jarvenpaa United 3 1 1 1 9:8 4
4 Region of Gothenburg (Am) 3 0 0 3 4:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Regions' Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 RAT (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 BKS 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Central Bohemia Region (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - UEFA Regions' Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Federacion de Canarias 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Pest Region (Am) 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Zemgale (Am) 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Hapoel Beit Shean Mesilot (Am) 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - UEFA Regions' Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valle d'Aosta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 West Slovakia (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Albania (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Northern Ireland Eastern Region (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - UEFA Regions' Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolnoslaski (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Istanbul (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Zangazur (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Carpathians (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - UEFA Regions' Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Split Region (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Munster (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Uzda (Am) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - UEFA Regions' Cup (Main)