Sport Picks
San Marino Calcio vs Sammaurese Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 
Match Events
58'
58'
Della Salandra E.
AI Match Summary
San Marino Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Marino Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Marino Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Marino Calcio have won more games recently than Sammaurese.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 18%
Sammaurese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marino Calcio | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group F
San Marino Calcio vs Sammaurese
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Sammaurese vs San Marino Calcio
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sammaurese vs San Marino Calcio
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group D
San Marino Calcio vs Sammaurese
0:0
Apr 13, 2017 Serie D - Group F
San Marino Calcio vs Sammaurese
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marino Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Della Salandra E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Sammaurese Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marino Calcio 31 / 100
Sammaurese 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marino Calcio Sammaurese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marino Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sammaurese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
San Marino Calcio found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
San Marino Calcio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Sammaurese lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Marino Calcio VS Sammaurese
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marino Calcio
(Home) 17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2 San Marino Calcio
Page 1 of 6
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
02 Apr
San Marino Calcio
3 : 0 Fossombrone
22 Mar
San Marino Calcio
1 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
01 Mar
San Marino Calcio
1 : 2 Giulianova
Page 1 of 3
Sammaurese
(Away) 03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
26 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0 Sammaurese
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0 Sammaurese
12 Apr
Sammaurese
0 : 0 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0 Sammaurese
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0 Sammaurese
22 Mar
Notaresco Calcio
4 : 0 Sammaurese
15 Mar
Fossombrone
2 : 1 Sammaurese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
