Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Marino U21 vs Finland U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 San Marino Stadium, Serravalle
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Semprini N.
Own Goal
24'
Marinucci P.
26' Event
Soderback M.

AI Match Summary

Finland U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 0-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Finland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
San Marino U21
15%
Draws
85%
Finland U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Finland U21 lately — more wins on the board than San Marino U21.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Finland U21 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Finland U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
San Marino U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marino U21 Finland U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 27 9
Goals Scored 0.17 2.3
Goals Conceded 3.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Euro U21
San Marino U21 vs Finland U21
0:8
Sep 4, 2025 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs San Marino U21
7:0
Sep 9, 2014 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs San Marino U21
5:0
Mar 5, 2014 Euro U21
San Marino U21 vs Finland U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marino U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Finland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Soderback M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Helen O.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino U21 10 / 100
Finland U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marino U21 Finland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Finland U21 conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

San Marino U21's goal record stands at 10% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Marino U21 VS Finland U21
0.13 Goals Scored 2.38
4.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marino U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Romania U21
3 : 0
San Marino U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8
Finland U21
18 Nov
San Marino U21
0 : 5
Cyprus U21
14 Nov
Spain U21
7 : 0
San Marino U21
14 Oct
Kosovo U21
7 : 0
San Marino U21
Page 1 of 6

Finland U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0
Cyprus U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8
Finland U21
18 Nov
Finland U21
0 : 0
Kosovo U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)