Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 San Marino Stadium, Serravalle

San Marino

1 - 5

Romania

Our Tip

Match Events

Cevoli M.

Assist: Bancu N.

Own Goal

44'

Popescu M.

Assist: Dragus D.

46'

Sub

Contadini A. In: Sensoli N.

Out: Contadini A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between San Marino and Romania finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Romania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

San Marino

20%

Draws

64%

Romania

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Romania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Romania come out ahead of San Marino on wins alone.
Win probability leans Romania's way, sitting at 60%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Romania have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

San Marino Clean Sheet 10%

Romania Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Marino	Romania
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	2	13
Draws	3	5
Losses	22	10
Goals Scored	0.56	1.75
Goals Conceded	2.93	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 World Championship

Romania vs San Marino

7:1

Mar 24, 2025 World Championship

San Marino vs Romania

1:5

Aug 10, 2011 Friendly International

San Marino vs Romania

0:1

Mar 27, 1991 Euro

San Marino vs Romania

1:3

Dec 5, 1990 Euro

Romania vs San Marino

6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Zannoni S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.47

Romania Compare

Top Goalscorer Popescu M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Alibec D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marino 18 / 100

Romania 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Marino Romania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Romania Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Romania conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Romania's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

San Marino scored in 48% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marino VS Romania

0.5 Goals Scored 1.63

2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marino

(Home)

26 Sept

San Marino

0 : 7

Finland

09 Jun

Azerbaijan

2 : 1

San Marino

05 Jun

San Marino

1 : 2

Bangladesh

31 Mar

San Marino

0 : 0

Andorra

28 Mar

San Marino

1 : 2

Faroe Islands

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Romania

(Away)

28 Sept

Romania

2 : 4

Bosnia & Herzegovina

25 Sept

Sweden

2 : 1

Romania

06 Jun

Romania

2 : 1

Wales

02 Jun

Georgia

1 : 1

Romania

31 Mar

Slovakia

2 : 0

Romania

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