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San Martin Arena vs Barreda Balompie

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Martin Arena play Barreda Balompie in the Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012. Barreda Balompie are favorites here. Recently, San Martin Arena averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Barreda Balompie averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. In past meetings, San Martin Arena won 1, Barreda Balompie won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 27, 2013 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for San Martin Arena and 1.49 for Barreda Balompie. This points to a Barreda Balompie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
San Martin Arena
16%
Draws
67%
Barreda Balompie
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Barreda Balompie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • San Martin Arena picked up more points recently compared to Barreda Balompie.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
San Martin Arena Clean Sheet 16%
Barreda Balompie Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Arena Barreda Balompie
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.84

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs San Martin Arena
4:0
Sep 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
San Martin Arena vs Barreda Balompie
0:2
Apr 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
San Martin Arena vs Barreda Balompie
4:0
Nov 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs San Martin Arena
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Arena 19 / 100
Barreda Balompie 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Arena Barreda Balompie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barreda Balompie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Barreda Balompie & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +88.9%
11.11
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Martin Arena attacking → ← attacking Barreda Balompie

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin Arena scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Barreda Balompie let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

San Martin Arena went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Barreda Balompie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 33
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SD Noja382765102:3087
2CD Laredo38267585:4085
3Rayo Cantabria382212491:3078
4Cayon CD38239658:3678
5CD Tropezon38236984:4375
6UM Escobedo382081063:5068
7CD Siete Villas381981161:4965
8Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)3816111175:5359
9Barreda Balompie3813111458:6050
10Castro381461862:6348
11Guarnizo3811121559:5845
12Vimenor381361945:6545
13Pontejos3810111750:6541
14Ribamontan al Mar3810101841:7140
15Bezana389111843:6638
16Atletico Albericia389111850:6938
17San Martin Arena381042444:6834
18Buelna38892136:7633
19CD Barquereno38782335:7229
20Arenas De Frajanas38542930:10819