Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin Burzaco vs CSD Liniers

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Francisco Boga Stadium
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Martin Burzaco play CSD Liniers in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Martin Burzaco averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1 conceded. CSD Liniers averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, San Martin Burzaco won 0, CSD Liniers won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for San Martin Burzaco and 0.69 for CSD Liniers. This points to a CSD Liniers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
San Martin Burzaco
33%
Draws
35%
CSD Liniers
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CSD Liniers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Martin Burzaco picked up more points recently compared to CSD Liniers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 28%
CSD Liniers Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 48%
Second Half Goal 50%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Burzaco CSD Liniers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.14 0.8
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs San Martin Burzaco
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs CSD Liniers
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs San Martin Burzaco
5:0
Nov 1, 2024 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs CSD Liniers
0:1
Jun 15, 2024 Primera B
CSD Liniers vs San Martin Burzaco
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Burzaco 34 / 100
CSD Liniers 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Burzaco CSD Liniers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CSD Liniers or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Martin Burzaco attacking → ← attacking CSD Liniers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin Burzaco scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

CSD Liniers let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

San Martin Burzaco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CSD Liniers lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 41
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Excursionistas22136333:1245
2Talleres Remedios Escalada22126423:1042
3Arsenal Sarandi22118331:1641
4Villa Dalmine22117426:1240
5Deportivo Camioneros22108423:1538
6Sportivo Italiano2297622:1934
7Real Pilar2296724:2333
8Comunicaciones2287725:2331
9Deportivo Armenio2294925:2731
10Dep. Merlo2287726:3331
11San Martin Burzaco2279622:1930
12Argentino de Merlo2286820:2030
13Laferrere2277823:2828
14Argentino de Quilmes2269724:2227
15CSD Liniers2267915:2225
16Dock Sud2259821:2124
17Defensores Unidos2258918:2323
18UAI Urquiza22313612:1622
19Flandria22641217:2822
20Brown Adrogue22571016:2722
21Villa San Carlos22391021:2918
22Ituzaingo22161516:389