Sport Picks
San Martin Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine
Argentina
Primera B Francisco Boga Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
32'
32'
Morales M.
36'
36'
Garzino F.
42'
42'
Prim S.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between San Martin Burzaco and Villa Dalmine finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa Dalmine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Martin Burzaco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Villa Dalmine come out ahead of San Martin Burzaco on wins alone.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on San Martin Burzaco taking it.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Dalmine Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Martin Burzaco | Villa Dalmine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 12, 2026 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs San Martin Burzaco
1:1
Aug 4, 2024 Primera B
Villa Dalmine vs San Martin Burzaco
0:0
Mar 15, 2024 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Villa Dalmine
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Martin Burzaco Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Villa Dalmine Compare
Top Goalscorer Morales M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carlucci V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Martin Burzaco 95 / 100
Villa Dalmine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Martin Burzaco Villa Dalmine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Martin Burzaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: San Martin Burzaco stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Villa Dalmine lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: San Martin Burzaco scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Villa Dalmine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
San Martin Burzaco VS Villa Dalmine
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Martin Burzaco
(Home) 03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1 Argentino de Merlo
26 Sept
Talleres Remedios Escalada
3 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1 Laferrere
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
05 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
0 : 0 Deportivo Armenio
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1 Argentino de Merlo
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1 Laferrere
05 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
0 : 0 Deportivo Armenio
25 Aug
San Martin Burzaco
3 : 2 Argentino de Quilmes
15 Aug
San Martin Burzaco
0 : 0 Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 3
Villa Dalmine
(Away) 03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0 Villa Dalmine
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0 UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1 Ituzaingo
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
05 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 1 Arsenal Sarandi
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0 Villa Dalmine
12 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0 Villa Dalmine
30 Aug
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 0 Villa Dalmine
21 Aug
Laferrere
0 : 2 Villa Dalmine
08 Aug
Deportivo Armenio
1 : 0 Villa Dalmine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50:25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 40:23 | 67 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45:28 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38:23 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 43:29 | 63 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42:38 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42:38 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39:34 | 55 |
| 10 | Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46:50 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martin Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39:41 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 37:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33:39 | 44 |
| 15 | Dep. Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36:51 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino de Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 17 | CSD Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31:39 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33:39 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24:37 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21:35 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25:62 | 15 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)
