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San Martin Formosa vs Costa Brava

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 17 De Octubre
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Vivani J.
18'
Riera E.
42' Event
Leiva D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal 2025 game between San Martin Formosa and Costa Brava finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Martin Formosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Martin Formosa
30%
Draws
34%
Costa Brava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Martin Formosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • San Martin Formosa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on San Martin Formosa taking it.
  • Regular Torneo Federal 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 68%
Costa Brava Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Formosa Costa Brava
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 4 12
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2025 Torneo Federal
San Martin Formosa vs Costa Brava
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Torneo Federal
Costa Brava vs San Martin Formosa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin Formosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Alderete R. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amud L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Costa Brava Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Formosa 46 / 100
Costa Brava 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Formosa Costa Brava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin Formosa scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Costa Brava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

San Martin Formosa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin Formosa VS Costa Brava
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Villa Mitre2
Guillermo Brown4
TBD-
Sportivo Belgrano-
Cipolletti0
Kimberley1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca2
Juventud U.U.0
Independiente Chivilcoy3
Douglas Haig4
Argentino MM-
TBD-
Juventud Antoniana3
Boca Unidos2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy3
El Linqueno2
9 de Julio Rafaela6
Germinal1
Deportivo Rincon5
Sportivo Las Parejas2
Costa Brava1
Bartolome Mitre1
San Martin Formosa2
Sol de Mayo2
Biblioteca Atenas5
Sarmiento Resistencia0
Sarmiento de La Banda1
San Martin Mendoza1
1/8-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
Guillermo Brown2
Sportivo Belgrano1
Kimberley2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca4
Douglas Haig3
Argentino MM1
Juventud Antoniana1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2
9 de Julio Rafaela2
Deportivo Rincon1
Costa Brava2
San Martin Formosa3
Biblioteca Atenas2
Sarmiento de La Banda0
Quarter-finals
Atl. Rafaela3
Guillermo Brown1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca0
Douglas Haig6
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa4
Biblioteca Atenas1
Semi-finals
Atl. Rafaela4
Douglas Haig2
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa5
Final
Atl. Rafaela2
San Martin Formosa0