Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio General Jose de San Martin, San Martin
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rivarola F.
46'
Sub
Miguel F. In: Correa C.
Out: Miguel F.
46'
Sub
Montes R. In: Rossi J.
Out: Montes R.

AI Match Summary

San Martin Mendoza in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin Mendoza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
San Martin Mendoza
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo Rincon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Martin Mendoza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Rincon haven't matched San Martin Mendoza's recent run of results.
  • San Martin Mendoza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Deportivo Rincon have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
San Martin Mendoza Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Rincon Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin Mendoza Deportivo Rincon
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Torneo Federal
San Martin Mendoza vs Deportivo Rincon
1:0
May 3, 2026 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs San Martin Mendoza
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Torneo Federal
Deportivo Rincon vs San Martin Mendoza
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin Mendoza Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivarola F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Deportivo Rincon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin Mendoza 95 / 100
Deportivo Rincon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin Mendoza Deportivo Rincon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Rincon has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

San Martin Mendoza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Deportivo Rincon's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

San Martin Mendoza's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin Mendoza VS Deportivo Rincon
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin Mendoza

(Home)
12 Jul
Fundacion Amigos
0 : 0
San Martin Mendoza
05 Jul
San Martin Mendoza
1 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
28 Jun
Costa Brava
2 : 1
San Martin Mendoza
20 Jun
San Martin Mendoza
3 : 1
Huracan Las Heras
07 Jun
Biblioteca Atenas
0 : 0
San Martin Mendoza
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Rincon

(Away)
12 Jul
Deportivo Rincon
0 : 1
Huracan Las Heras
05 Jul
San Martin Mendoza
1 : 0
Deportivo Rincon
27 Jun
Deportivo Rincon
0 : 1
Biblioteca Atenas
21 Jun
Cipolletti
2 : 1
Deportivo Rincon
14 Jun
Deportivo Rincon
2 : 1
Juventud U.U.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)