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San Martin S.J. vs Atl. Rafaela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, San Juan
San Martin S.J. Logo

San Martin S.J.

1 - 1
FT
Atl. Rafaela Logo

Atl. Rafaela

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Monje L. In: Mercado Carrizo D. A.
Out: Monje L.
46'
Sub
Acosta G. In: Rumbolo R.
Out: Acosta G.
46'
Sub
Nadalin F. In: Murillo F.
Out: Nadalin F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Martin S.J. and Atl. Rafaela finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
San Martin S.J.
15%
Draws
36%
Atl. Rafaela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Martin S.J.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • San Martin S.J. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin S.J. Atl. Rafaela
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Atl. Rafaela
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs San Martin S.J.
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs San Martin S.J.
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Atl. Rafaela
2:1
Aug 28, 2022 Primera Nacional
Atl. Rafaela vs San Martin S.J.
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreyra L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Atl. Rafaela Compare

Top Goalscorer Jourdan F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 42 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin S.J. Atl. Rafaela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin S.J. found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Atl. Rafaela lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Atl. Rafaela conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. VS Atl. Rafaela
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin S.J.

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
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Atl. Rafaela

(Away)
04 Oct
Atl. Rafaela
2 : 3
Atletico Atlanta
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1
Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Agropecuario
2 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)