Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia y Tiro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, San Juan
San Martin S.J. Logo

San Martin S.J.

3 - 1
FT
Gimnasia y Tiro Logo

Gimnasia y Tiro

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Coronel F.
Assist: Jaurena S.
26' Event
Rossi G.
Assist: Murillo F.
46'
Sub
Rinaldi N. In: Rocca J.
Out: Rinaldi N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Martin S.J. in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin S.J..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
San Martin S.J.
20%
Draws
51%
Gimnasia y Tiro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia y Tiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: San Martin S.J. at 1.03 per game, Gimnasia y Tiro at 0.87.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and San Martin S.J. have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 28%
Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin S.J. Gimnasia y Tiro
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.03 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia y Tiro
3:1
Apr 4, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia y Tiro vs San Martin S.J.
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia y Tiro
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronel F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Galetto J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 34 / 100
Gimnasia y Tiro 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin S.J. Gimnasia y Tiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia y Tiro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin S.J. found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Gimnasia y Tiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

San Martin S.J. has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. VS Gimnasia y Tiro
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin S.J.

(Home)
04 Oct
San Martin S.J.
1 : 2
Almagro
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
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Gimnasia y Tiro

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
27 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
20 Sept
Agropecuario
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
06 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
1 : 3
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
8 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
9 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)