Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin S.J. vs Quilmes

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Zuliani H.
Assist: Jaurena S.
43'
Ortega T.
46'
Sub
Murillo F. In: Nadalin F.
Out: Murillo F.

AI Match Summary

San Martin S.J. in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin S.J..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
San Martin S.J.
40%
Draws
29%
Quilmes
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • San Martin S.J. has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Quilmes.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Primera Nacional provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 20%
Quilmes Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin S.J. Quilmes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Quilmes
1:0
Aug 6, 2024 Primera Nacional
Quilmes vs San Martin S.J.
0:1
Mar 16, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Quilmes
0:3
Jun 4, 2022 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Quilmes
2:1
May 6, 2017 Liga Profesional
San Martin S.J. vs Quilmes
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin S.J. Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuliani H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Quilmes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin S.J. 32 / 100
Quilmes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin S.J. Quilmes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin S.J. scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Quilmes let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

San Martin S.J. went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Quilmes lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Martin S.J. VS Quilmes
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro20124423:1440
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Los Andes2088419:832
4Colon Santa Fe1988323:1532
5Ciudad Bolivar2079419:1630
6CA Estudiantes2086618:1630
7Almirante Brown2086615:1330
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz1967619:1725
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Defensores de Belgrano1958614:1723
12Racing Cordoba1956817:2221
13All Boys2049713:2021
14San Telmo2048816:2120
15Central Norte1947812:1719
16Acassuso19541013:2019
17CA Mitre2039819:2718
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy19114431:2137
2Atletico Atlanta19103624:1533
3Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
4Temperley1979319:1730
5Deportivo Maipu2084827:2128
6Midland1976620:1527
7Atl. Rafaela2076715:1627
8San Martin T.1968516:1526
9Nueva Chicago1967617:1725
10Almagro1974816:1925
11Quilmes1966718:1524
12Gimnasia y Tiro1966718:2024
13Colegiales1965818:1923
14San Martin S.J.1865718:1923
15Chacarita Juniors1964915:2022
16Patronato1949612:1621
17Club Atletico Guemes19541018:3219
18Agropecuario1946914:2418