Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman

San Martin T.

3 - 0

Almagro

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Carabajal G.

22'

Marchioni J.

37'

Veliez A.

Assist: Cabrera B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Martin T. in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin T..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

San Martin T.

39%

Draws

31%

Almagro

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Almagro haven't matched San Martin T.'s recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 20%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%

San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%

Almagro Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Martin T.	Almagro
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	9	7
Draws	12	9
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	0.5	1
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Primera Nacional

San Martin T. vs Almagro

3:0

Feb 21, 2026 Primera Nacional

Almagro vs San Martin T.

0:1

Jun 14, 2025 Primera Nacional

San Martin T. vs Almagro

1:1

Feb 8, 2025 Primera Nacional

Almagro vs San Martin T.

0:0

Jul 23, 2023 Primera Nacional

Almagro vs San Martin T.

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Carabajal G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Veliez A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Almagro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin T. 41 / 100

Almagro 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Martin T. Almagro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almagro let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

San Martin T. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

San Martin T. scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

San Martin T. VS Almagro

0.5 Goals Scored 1

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin T.

(Home)

17 Jul

Deportivo Maipu

0 : 0

San Martin T.

12 Jul

San Martin T.

3 : 0

Almagro

05 Jul

Patronato

0 : 1

San Martin T.

20 Jun

Temperley

1 : 1

San Martin T.

13 Jun

Colegiales

2 : 0

San Martin T.

Page 1 of 6

Almagro

(Away)

12 Jul

San Martin T.

3 : 0

Almagro

04 Jul

Almagro

1 : 0

Atl. Rafaela

20 Jun

Almagro

2 : 0

Atletico Atlanta

13 Jun

Almagro

2 : 1

Agropecuario

06 Jun

Tristan Suarez

0 : 0

Almagro

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	21	13	4	4	25:14	43
2	Deportivo Moron	20	10	5	5	29:19	35
3	Colon Santa Fe	21	9	8	4	27:17	35
4	Los Andes	20	8	8	4	19:8	32
5	Ciudad Bolivar	21	7	10	4	19:16	31
6	CA Estudiantes	21	8	7	6	18:16	31
7	Almirante Brown	21	8	7	6	15:13	31
8	Deportivo Madryn	20	7	8	5	27:22	29
9	Godoy Cruz	20	7	7	6	20:17	28
10	San Miguel	20	5	10	5	17:21	25
11	Racing Cordoba	21	6	6	9	20:25	24
12	Defensores de Belgrano	20	5	8	7	14:18	23
13	All Boys	21	4	10	7	13:20	22
14	CA Mitre	21	4	9	8	20:27	21
15	San Telmo	20	4	8	8	16:21	20
16	Acassuso	20	5	4	11	15:23	19
17	Central Norte	20	4	7	9	12:21	19
18	Chaco For Ever	20	3	7	10	17:26	16

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	20	11	5	4	32:22	38
2	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
3	Temperley	21	8	10	3	21:17	34
4	Tristan Suarez	20	8	9	3	17:11	33
5	Midland	20	8	6	6	21:15	30
6	San Martin T.	21	7	9	5	19:15	30
7	Deportivo Maipu	21	8	5	8	27:21	29
8	Atl. Rafaela	21	7	6	8	15:18	27
9	San Martin S.J.	19	7	5	7	20:19	26
10	Nueva Chicago	20	6	8	6	18:18	26
11	Gimnasia y Tiro	20	6	7	7	19:21	25
12	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
13	Quilmes	20	6	6	8	18:16	24
14	Colegiales	20	6	5	9	18:20	23
15	Chacarita Juniors	20	6	5	9	16:21	23
16	Patronato	20	4	10	6	13:17	22
17	Agropecuario	21	4	8	9	15:25	20
18	Club Atletico Guemes	20	5	4	11	18:34	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)