Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Martin T. vs Atletico Atlanta

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Cisnero A. In: Ferreyra L.
Out: Cisnero A.
22'
Quintana A.
45'
Brinone S.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Atlanta in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Atlanta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Martin T.
20%
Draws
40%
Atletico Atlanta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Atlanta have won more games recently than San Martin T..
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin T. Atletico Atlanta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Atletico Atlanta
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Atletico Atlanta
4:0
May 11, 2025 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs San Martin T.
3:1
Jul 23, 2022 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Atletico Atlanta
0:0
Aug 18, 2021 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Atletico Atlanta
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin T. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Atletico Atlanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Puch J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin T. 36 / 100
Atletico Atlanta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin T. Atletico Atlanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Atlanta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin T. found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

San Martin T. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Atlanta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Martin T. VS Atletico Atlanta
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin T.

(Home)
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0
San Martin T.
30 Aug
San Martin T.
1 : 1
Club Atletico Guemes
23 Aug
Chacarita Juniors
1 : 2
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Atlanta

(Away)
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
30 Aug
Atletico Atlanta
0 : 1
San Martin S.J.
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 30 16 7 7 48:29 55
3 Godoy Cruz 30 15 7 8 38:26 52
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 30 8 13 9 22:20 37
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 30 8 12 10 23:26 36
12 Racing Cordoba 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
13 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
14 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
15 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
16 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 30 14 12 4 31:15 54
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 30 15 8 7 45:36 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 30 15 4 11 34:28 49
5 Midland 30 13 8 9 34:25 47
6 San Martin S.J. 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 30 12 9 9 31:27 45
8 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
9 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
10 Deportivo Maipu 30 11 8 11 37:31 41
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Agropecuario 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
14 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
15 Nueva Chicago 30 8 9 13 22:29 33
16 Patronato 30 5 16 9 24:31 31
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)