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Stadium Background

San Martin T. vs Midland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman
San Martin T. Logo

San Martin T.

3 - 2
FT
Midland Logo

Midland

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Veron M. In: Diellos D.
Out: Veron M.
30'
Sub
Cisnero A. In: Veliez A.
Out: Cisnero A.
31' Event
Andrada I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Martin T. in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin T..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Martin T.
20%
Draws
40%
Midland
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Midland have won more games recently than San Martin T..
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Midland taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 20%
Midland Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin T. Midland
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Midland
3:2
May 31, 2026 Primera Nacional
Midland vs San Martin T.
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Martin T. Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Midland Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrada I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cepeda G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin T. 28 / 100
Midland 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin T. Midland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Midland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

San Martin T. scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Midland conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

San Martin T. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Martin T. VS Midland
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Martin T.

(Home)
18 Oct
San Martin T.
3 : 2
Midland
11 Oct
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 0
San Martin T.
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
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Midland

(Away)
18 Oct
San Martin T.
3 : 2
Midland
10 Oct
Midland
4 : 0
Atl. Rafaela
04 Oct
Agropecuario
0 : 0
Midland
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
20 Sept
Club Atletico Guemes
0 : 2
Midland
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 34 19 8 7 38:28 65
2 Godoy Cruz 34 17 9 8 48:32 60
3 Deportivo Moron 34 17 7 10 51:36 58
4 Deportivo Madryn 34 14 12 8 47:30 54
5 Colon Santa Fe 34 14 12 8 41:27 54
6 Ciudad Bolivar 34 13 12 9 30:29 51
7 Almirante Brown 34 12 12 10 28:24 48
8 CA Estudiantes 34 13 9 12 34:33 48
9 Los Andes 34 9 14 11 26:25 41
10 Chaco For Ever 34 10 10 14 33:36 40
11 Racing Cordoba 34 10 10 14 30:40 40
12 CA Mitre 34 8 15 11 31:39 39
13 Defensores de Belgrano 34 8 14 12 25:32 38
14 San Telmo 34 9 11 14 28:37 38
15 Central Norte 34 7 16 11 23:31 37
16 All Boys 34 6 17 11 19:29 35
17 Acassuso 34 8 9 17 25:35 33
18 San Miguel 34 6 14 14 27:41 32
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 34 16 14 4 33:15 62
2 Temperley 34 16 12 6 41:28 60
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 34 16 10 8 51:42 58
4 Atletico Atlanta 34 18 4 12 40:33 58
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 34 14 10 10 37:31 52
6 Midland 34 14 9 11 40:29 51
7 Colegiales 34 14 8 12 35:31 50
8 Deportivo Maipu 34 13 9 12 40:33 48
9 San Martin S.J. 34 12 11 11 36:34 47
10 San Martin T. 34 11 13 10 38:35 46
11 Atl. Rafaela 34 12 9 13 28:34 45
12 Almagro 34 11 8 15 31:41 41
13 Agropecuario 34 10 10 14 27:38 40
14 Quilmes 34 10 9 15 30:29 39
15 Patronato 34 7 16 11 29:33 37
16 Chacarita Juniors 34 10 6 18 26:35 36
17 Nueva Chicago 34 9 9 16 24:33 36
18 Club Atletico Guemes 34 6 8 20 25:57 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)