Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Miguel vs Los Andes

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Asenjo M.
Assist: Gonzalez M.
23'
Asenjo M.
46'
Sub
Ferrero J. In: Almeida F.
Out: Ferrero J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between San Miguel and Los Andes finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Andes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
San Miguel
35%
Draws
43%
Los Andes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Los Andes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

22% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Los Andes come out ahead of San Miguel on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 68%
Los Andes Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel Los Andes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.79 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera Nacional
Los Andes vs San Miguel
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs Los Andes
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Primera Nacional
Los Andes vs San Miguel
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Miguel vs Los Andes
1:0
Sep 9, 2023 Primera B
San Miguel vs Los Andes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Miguel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Los Andes Compare

Top Goalscorer Asenjo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Navas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 41 / 100
Los Andes 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel Los Andes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Miguel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Miguel's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Los Andes conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

San Miguel has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS Los Andes
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
19 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 1
All Boys
13 Sept
Los Andes
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Sept
San Miguel
1 : 2
Godoy Cruz
30 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1
San Miguel
26 Aug
Chaco For Ever
3 : 0
San Miguel
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Los Andes

(Away)
20 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0
Los Andes
13 Sept
Los Andes
1 : 1
San Miguel
09 Sept
Defensores de Belgrano
1 : 1
Los Andes
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0
Los Andes
31 Aug
Los Andes
0 : 0
Acassuso
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 30 16 7 7 48:29 55
3 Godoy Cruz 30 15 7 8 38:26 52
4 Deportivo Madryn 30 13 10 7 44:28 49
5 Colon Santa Fe 30 13 9 8 38:25 48
6 Almirante Brown 30 12 10 8 23:17 46
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 30 8 13 9 22:20 37
10 Chaco For Ever 30 9 9 12 27:29 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 30 8 12 10 23:26 36
12 Racing Cordoba 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 30 6 13 11 19:28 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 30 14 12 4 31:15 54
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 30 15 8 7 45:36 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 30 15 4 11 34:28 49
5 Midland 30 13 8 9 34:25 47
6 San Martin S.J. 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 30 12 9 9 31:27 45
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 30 11 8 11 37:31 41
10 Colegiales 30 11 7 12 29:30 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Agropecuario 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
13 Quilmes 30 9 8 13 28:27 35
14 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
15 Nueva Chicago 30 8 9 13 22:29 33
16 Patronato 30 5 16 9 24:31 31
17 Chacarita Juniors 30 8 6 16 22:31 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 30 5 8 17 23:51 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)