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San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brigida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
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Match Events

30' Event
Cardenes V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between San Miguel and Villa Santa Brigida finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa Santa Brigida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
San Miguel
30%
Draws
23%
Villa Santa Brigida
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa Santa Brigida carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans San Miguel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel Villa Santa Brigida
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brigida
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brigida
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs San Miguel
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs San Miguel
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Miguel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Villa Santa Brigida Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardenes V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 95 / 100
Villa Santa Brigida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel Villa Santa Brigida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Miguel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Miguel found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Villa Santa Brigida let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: San Miguel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS Villa Santa Brigida
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Miguel

(Home)
03 Oct
San Miguel
2 : 0
Tenerife C
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1
San Miguel
Page 1 of 6

Villa Santa Brigida

(Away)
03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
26 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 0
Villaverde Norte
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
12 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
0 : 0
Anaza
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)