Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brigida

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Cardenes V.

AI Match Summary

San Miguel host Villa Santa Brigida in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Villa Santa Brigida have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while San Miguel have conceded 1.38 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Villa Santa Brigida slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.19) back Villa Santa Brigida to edge this. Villa Santa Brigida in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Miguel
33%
Draws
27%
Villa Santa Brigida
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Miguel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Villa Santa Brigida has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to San Miguel.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for San Miguel.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 12 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
San Miguel Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Miguel Villa Santa Brigida
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brigida
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs San Miguel
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Miguel vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs San Miguel
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Miguel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Villa Santa Brigida Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardenes V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Miguel 50 / 100
Villa Santa Brigida 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Miguel Villa Santa Brigida

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Miguel scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Villa Santa Brigida let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

San Miguel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Villa Santa Brigida lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Miguel VS Villa Santa Brigida
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125