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San Roque de Lepe vs Tomares UD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gonzalez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between San Roque de Lepe and Tomares UD finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Roque de Lepe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
San Roque de Lepe
30%
Draws
37%
Tomares UD
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tomares UD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tomares UD come out ahead of San Roque de Lepe on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
San Roque de Lepe Clean Sheet 16%
Tomares UD Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Roque de Lepe Tomares UD
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs Tomares UD
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs San Roque de Lepe
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs Tomares UD
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Tomares UD vs San Roque de Lepe
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Roque de Lepe Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tomares UD Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Roque de Lepe 31 / 100
Tomares UD 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Roque de Lepe Tomares UD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Roque de Lepe's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tomares UD conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: San Roque de Lepe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

San Roque de Lepe VS Tomares UD
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Roque de Lepe

(Home)
04 Oct
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Betis C
27 Sept
Bollullos
1 : 2
San Roque de Lepe
20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1
San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 6

Tomares UD

(Away)
04 Oct
Tomares UD
1 : 1
Portuense
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
20 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 0
Cordoba B
13 Sept
Linense
2 : 0
Tomares UD
06 Sept
Tomares UD
2 : 2
Cadiz B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)