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San Sebastian Reyes B vs Carabanchel

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Tiemblo J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between San Sebastian Reyes B and Carabanchel finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Sebastian Reyes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
San Sebastian Reyes B
17%
Draws
13%
Carabanchel
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: San Sebastian Reyes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • San Sebastian Reyes B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • San Sebastian Reyes B are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
San Sebastian Reyes B Clean Sheet 68%
Carabanchel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Sebastian Reyes B Carabanchel
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Sebastian Reyes B vs Carabanchel
1:0
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Carabanchel vs San Sebastian Reyes B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Sebastian Reyes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiemblo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Carabanchel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Sebastian Reyes B 77 / 100
Carabanchel 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Sebastian Reyes B Carabanchel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Sebastian Reyes B's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Carabanchel let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

San Sebastian Reyes B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Sebastian Reyes B VS Carabanchel
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Sebastian Reyes B

(Home)
10 May
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 4
San Sebastian Reyes B
03 May
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
26 Apr
Siello
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
19 Apr
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Apr
Leganes B
2 : 3
San Sebastian Reyes B
Page 1 of 6

Carabanchel

(Away)
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
Carabanchel
3 : 2
Pozuelo de Alarcon
25 Apr
Leganes B
0 : 1
Carabanchel
19 Apr
Carabanchel
0 : 1
Trival Valderas
12 Apr
AD Torrejon
1 : 1
Carabanchel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)