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San Sebastian Reyes B vs Mexico

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Corral S.
82' Event
Rami
89' Event
Jimenez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between San Sebastian Reyes B and Mexico finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Sebastian Reyes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
San Sebastian Reyes B
30%
Draws
39%
Mexico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mexico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • San Sebastian Reyes B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
San Sebastian Reyes B Clean Sheet 21%
Mexico Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Sebastian Reyes B Mexico
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Sebastian Reyes B vs Mexico
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs San Sebastian Reyes B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Sebastian Reyes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Rami
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jimenez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Sebastian Reyes B 37 / 100
Mexico 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Sebastian Reyes B Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Sebastian Reyes B found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Mexico let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: San Sebastian Reyes B stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Sebastian Reyes B VS Mexico
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Sebastian Reyes B

(Home)
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 3
CP Parla Escuela
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
18 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
Page 1 of 6

Mexico

(Away)
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2
Mexico
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
05 Sept
Mexico
0 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
10 May
Leganes B
1 : 2
Mexico
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)