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San Sebastian Reyes vs Alcoyano Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Nuevo Matapiñonera, San Sebastián de los Reyes
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ruiz F.
72' Event
Prieto S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
San Sebastian Reyes
30%
Draws
37%
Alcoyano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcoyano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • San Sebastian Reyes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans San Sebastian Reyes's way, sitting at 42%.
  • San Sebastian Reyes have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
San Sebastian Reyes Clean Sheet 68%
Alcoyano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Sebastian Reyes Alcoyano
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.43 0.96
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
San Sebastian Reyes vs Alcoyano
1:1
May 10, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Alcoyano vs San Sebastian Reyes
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Sebastian Reyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Alcoyano Compare

Top Goalscorer Prieto S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Sebastian Reyes 51 / 100
Alcoyano 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Sebastian Reyes Alcoyano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Sebastian Reyes scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: San Sebastian Reyes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Alcoyano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Sebastian Reyes VS Alcoyano
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Sebastian Reyes

(Home)
26 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Numancia
12 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 0
Valladolid Promesas
06 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 3
San Sebastian Reyes
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes
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Alcoyano

(Away)
27 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
Deportiva Minera
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
05 Sept
Alcoyano
1 : 1
Ciudad Cieza
22 Aug
Alcoyano
2 : 2
Valencia B
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B 2
Jaen 3
Baleares 4
Coruxo FC 1
Deportiva Minera 0
CD Coria 1
Real Oviedo B 3
Tudelano 1
UD Logrones 4
Getafe B 1
San Sebastian Reyes 3
Alcoyano 1
UD Ourense 2
Reus FC Reddis 1
Conquense 1
Xerez CD 1
Aguilas FC 4
Utebo FC 2
UD Poblense 3
Numancia 1
Final
Jaen 4
Baleares 2
CD Coria 4
Real Oviedo B 0
UD Logrones 2
San Sebastian Reyes 1
UD Ourense 3
Conquense 0
Aguilas FC 2
UD Poblense 1