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San Sebastian Reyes vs Quintanar del Rey

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Montano A.
49' Event
Lorente J.
59' Event
Ruiz F.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between San Sebastian Reyes and Quintanar del Rey finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Sebastian Reyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Sebastian Reyes
44%
Draws
20%
Quintanar del Rey
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • San Sebastian Reyes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
San Sebastian Reyes Clean Sheet 23%
Quintanar del Rey Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Sebastian Reyes Quintanar del Rey
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
San Sebastian Reyes vs Quintanar del Rey
3:2
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Quintanar del Rey vs San Sebastian Reyes
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Sebastian Reyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva Teles V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Quintanar del Rey Compare

Top Goalscorer Montano A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lorente J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Sebastian Reyes 37 / 100
Quintanar del Rey 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Sebastian Reyes Quintanar del Rey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Sebastian Reyes found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Quintanar del Rey has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

San Sebastian Reyes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Sebastian Reyes VS Quintanar del Rey
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Sebastian Reyes

(Home)
30 May
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 1
UD Logrones
24 May
UD Logrones
1 : 0
San Sebastian Reyes
17 May
San Sebastian Reyes
1 : 1
Alcoyano
10 May
Alcoyano
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes
03 May
Tenerife B
1 : 3
San Sebastian Reyes
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Quintanar del Rey

(Away)
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 0
RSD Alcala
19 Apr
CF Intercity
1 : 2
Quintanar del Rey
12 Apr
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
05 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
1 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:2370
2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:2770
3Conquense341612642:3060
4Getafe B34169955:3557
5CD Coria34169950:3857
6RSD Alcala341491142:3951
7Tenerife B341551457:5350
8Orihuela3412101245:4346
9CF Intercity3411101342:4543
10Navalcarnero3411101340:4243
11Las Palmas B341191442:4542
12Ilicitano3410111351:5641
13Real Madrid C341171642:4540
14Quintanar del Rey341161736:4339
15CF Fuenlabrada349101535:4437
16Colonia Moscardo34971837:5734
17Socuellamos347101734:5531
18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:6330
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)