Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Telmo vs Chaco For Ever

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Osvaldo Baletto, Dock Sud
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Romero M. S.
Assist: Fernandez L.
23'
Nievas B.
26'
Britez L.

AI Match Summary

Chaco For Ever in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chaco For Ever.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
San Telmo
35%
Draws
38%
Chaco For Ever
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chaco For Ever

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • San Telmo haven't matched Chaco For Ever's recent run of results.
  • Chaco For Ever are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 18%
Chaco For Ever Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Telmo Chaco For Ever
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.79 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Chaco For Ever
1:3
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chaco For Ever vs San Telmo
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Chaco For Ever
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
Chaco For Ever vs San Telmo
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chaco For Ever vs San Telmo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Telmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Motroni J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Chaco For Ever Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero M. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gaggi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Telmo 23 / 100
Chaco For Ever 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Telmo Chaco For Ever

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaco For Ever Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaco For Ever has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

San Telmo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

San Telmo's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

San Telmo VS Chaco For Ever
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Telmo

(Home)
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1
San Telmo
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0
Los Andes
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0
San Telmo
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2
San Telmo
21 Aug
San Telmo
2 : 2
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

Chaco For Ever

(Away)
13 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 0
Chaco For Ever
06 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
30 Aug
All Boys
0 : 0
Chaco For Ever
26 Aug
Chaco For Ever
3 : 0
San Miguel
22 Aug
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Los Andes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Moron 29 16 7 6 47:27 55
2 Ferro 29 16 7 6 34:25 55
3 Godoy Cruz 29 14 7 8 36:25 49
4 Deportivo Madryn 28 12 10 6 41:26 46
5 Almirante Brown 29 12 10 7 23:16 46
6 Colon Santa Fe 29 12 9 8 35:25 45
7 CA Estudiantes 29 10 9 10 26:25 39
8 Ciudad Bolivar 29 9 12 8 24:26 39
9 Los Andes 29 8 13 8 22:17 37
10 Racing Cordoba 29 9 8 12 26:34 35
11 Chaco For Ever 29 8 9 12 26:29 33
12 CA Mitre 29 6 14 9 27:35 32
13 Central Norte 29 6 13 10 19:27 31
14 All Boys 29 6 13 10 16:25 31
15 San Telmo 29 7 10 12 23:33 31
16 Defensores de Belgrano 28 6 12 10 20:25 30
17 San Miguel 29 6 12 11 23:33 30
18 Acassuso 29 5 8 16 19:34 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 28 14 10 4 31:15 52
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 29 15 7 7 44:35 52
3 Temperley 29 13 11 5 33:23 50
4 Atletico Atlanta 29 15 3 11 34:28 48
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 29 12 9 8 31:26 45
6 Midland 29 12 8 9 32:25 44
7 San Martin S.J. 28 11 8 9 31:27 41
8 Deportivo Maipu 29 11 7 11 36:30 40
9 Colegiales 29 11 7 11 29:28 40
10 San Martin T. 29 9 12 8 30:26 39
11 Atl. Rafaela 29 10 9 10 21:24 39
12 Quilmes 29 9 8 12 28:24 35
13 Almagro 29 9 8 12 25:33 35
14 Agropecuario 29 8 9 12 25:34 33
15 Nueva Chicago 29 8 8 13 21:28 32
16 Patronato 29 5 15 9 23:30 30
17 Chacarita Juniors 29 7 6 16 19:31 27
18 Club Atletico Guemes 29 5 8 16 23:49 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)