Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Viator vs Beasain

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Iriondo A.
54' Event
Lizaso E.
70' Event
Cid I.

AI Match Summary

Beasain in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beasain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
San Viator
20%
Draws
80%
Beasain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beasain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beasain lately — more wins on the board than San Viator.
  • Beasain are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
San Viator Clean Sheet 18%
Beasain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Viator Beasain
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 25 9
Goals Scored 0.6 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Viator vs Beasain
2:3
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Beasain vs San Viator
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Viator Compare

Top Goalscorer Cid I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Beasain Compare

Top Goalscorer Iriondo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lizaso E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Viator 10 / 100
Beasain 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Viator Beasain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beasain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Beasain conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

San Viator scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Beasain lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Beasain
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

San Viator

(Home)
11 May
Padura
3 : 0
San Viator
03 May
San Viator
1 : 5
Portugalete
26 Apr
Eibar C
4 : 1
San Viator
17 Apr
San Viator
2 : 3
Touring KE
12 Apr
SD Deusto
2 : 1
San Viator
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Beasain

(Away)
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
29 Aug
Lagun Onak
2 : 2
Beasain
28 Aug
Beasain
2 : 3
Valle Egues
22 Aug
Beasain
3 : 1
Alaves C
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)