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San Viator vs Leioa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Perez Alvarez A.
46' Event
Juste J.

AI Match Summary

Leioa in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leioa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
San Viator
30%
Draws
70%
Leioa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leioa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Leioa have won more games recently than San Viator.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Leioa taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
San Viator Clean Sheet 19%
Leioa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Viator Leioa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 25 7
Goals Scored 0.6 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.8 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Viator vs Leioa
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs San Viator
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Viator Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Leioa Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez Alvarez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Juste J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Viator 16 / 100
Leioa 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Viator Leioa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leioa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leioa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

San Viator scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Leioa's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leioa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Viator

(Home)
11 May
Padura
3 : 0
San Viator
03 May
San Viator
1 : 5
Portugalete
26 Apr
Eibar C
4 : 1
San Viator
17 Apr
San Viator
2 : 3
Touring KE
12 Apr
SD Deusto
2 : 1
San Viator
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Leioa

(Away)
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
19 Aug
Leioa
1 : 1
Portugalete
18 Jul
Leioa
0 : 11
Ath Bilbao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)