Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Viator vs Portugalete - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ortega A.
45' Event
Alba A.
45' Event
Crespo G.

AI Match Summary

Portugalete in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugalete.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
San Viator
15%
Draws
85%
Portugalete
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portugalete

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • San Viator haven't matched Portugalete's recent run of results.
  • Portugalete are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
San Viator Clean Sheet 16%
Portugalete Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Viator Portugalete
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 19
Draws 4 6
Losses 25 6
Goals Scored 0.6 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.8 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Viator vs Portugalete
1:5
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Portugalete vs San Viator
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Viator Compare

Top Goalscorer Vicente E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Portugalete Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortega A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Crespo G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Viator 10 / 100
Portugalete 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Viator Portugalete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugalete Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

San Viator's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Portugalete's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Portugalete has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portugalete
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

San Viator

(Home)
11 May
Padura
3 : 0
San Viator
03 May
San Viator
1 : 5
Portugalete
26 Apr
Eibar C
4 : 1
San Viator
17 Apr
San Viator
2 : 3
Touring KE
12 Apr
SD Deusto
2 : 1
San Viator
Page 1 of 6

Portugalete

(Away)
03 Oct
Portugalete
0 : 2
Alaves B
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
19 Sept
Portugalete
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)