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Sancataldese vs Lamezia

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Romano V.
62' Event
Bruno Cosendey

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Sancataldese and Lamezia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sancataldese
35%
Draws
32%
Lamezia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lamezia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sancataldese Clean Sheet 17%
Lamezia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sancataldese Lamezia
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Lamezia
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs Sancataldese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sancataldese Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Lamezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Cosendey
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sancataldese 31 / 100
Lamezia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sancataldese Lamezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sancataldese scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Lamezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sancataldese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sancataldese VS Lamezia
0.67 Goals Scored 1.13
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sancataldese

(Home)
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Sancataldese
26 Apr
Sancataldese
1 : 1
Lamezia
19 Apr
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
Sancataldese
12 Apr
Sancataldese
0 : 1
Gelbison
02 Apr
Vibonese
0 : 2
Sancataldese
Page 1 of 6

Lamezia

(Away)
04 Oct
Lamezia
2 : 0
Castrumfavara
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2
Igea Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)