Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sancataldese vs Locri 1909

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
El Hadj C. G.
52' Event
Molvadgaard M.
69' Event
El Hadj C. G.

AI Match Summary

Sancataldese in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sancataldese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sancataldese
35%
Draws
19%
Locri 1909
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sancataldese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Locri 1909 haven't matched Sancataldese's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sancataldese have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sancataldese Clean Sheet 18%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sancataldese Locri 1909
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Locri 1909
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Sancataldese
0:1
Apr 6, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Sancataldese
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Locri 1909
4:1
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Sancataldese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sancataldese Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hadj C. G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Molvadgaard M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sancataldese 32 / 100
Locri 1909 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sancataldese Locri 1909

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Locri 1909 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locri 1909's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sancataldese scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Sancataldese has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sancataldese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sancataldese

(Home)
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Sancataldese
26 Apr
Sancataldese
1 : 1
Lamezia
19 Apr
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
Sancataldese
12 Apr
Sancataldese
0 : 1
Gelbison
02 Apr
Vibonese
0 : 2
Sancataldese
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Locri 1909

(Away)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)