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Stadium Background

Sancataldese vs S. Agata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kouame W.
28' Event
Suarez P.
53'
Catania G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 game between Sancataldese and S. Agata finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sancataldese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sancataldese
35%
Draws
32%
S. Agata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • S. Agata haven't matched Sancataldese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans S. Agata's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Sancataldese Clean Sheet 18%
S. Agata Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sancataldese S. Agata
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs S. Agata
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Sancataldese
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Sancataldese
3:0
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs S. Agata
1:0
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group I
S. Agata vs Sancataldese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sancataldese Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouame W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suarez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

S. Agata Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorato S. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sancataldese 23 / 100
S. Agata 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sancataldese S. Agata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick S. Agata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Agata let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sancataldese scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sancataldese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sancataldese VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sancataldese

(Home)
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Sancataldese
26 Apr
Sancataldese
1 : 1
Lamezia
19 Apr
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
Sancataldese
12 Apr
Sancataldese
0 : 1
Gelbison
02 Apr
Vibonese
0 : 2
Sancataldese
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S. Agata

(Away)
11 May
AS Acireale
2 : 2
S. Agata
04 May
Castrumfavara
0 : 2
S. Agata
27 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 3
Scafatese
17 Apr
Sancataldese
2 : 1
S. Agata
13 Apr
S. Agata
1 : 1
Pompei
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)