Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sancataldese vs Sambiase

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Haberkon V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Sancataldese and Sambiase finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sambiase.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sancataldese
30%
Draws
47%
Sambiase
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sambiase

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sambiase carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sambiase's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sambiase here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sancataldese Clean Sheet 13%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sancataldese Sambiase
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Sambiase
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Sancataldese
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Sancataldese
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Sambiase
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sancataldese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Sambiase Compare

Top Goalscorer Haberkon V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sancataldese 10 / 100
Sambiase 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sancataldese Sambiase

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambiase Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sancataldese's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sambiase let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sancataldese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sancataldese VS Sambiase
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sancataldese

(Home)
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Sancataldese
26 Apr
Sancataldese
1 : 1
Lamezia
19 Apr
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
Sancataldese
12 Apr
Sancataldese
0 : 1
Gelbison
02 Apr
Vibonese
0 : 2
Sancataldese
Page 1 of 6

Sambiase

(Away)
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
27 Sept
Sambiase
4 : 1
Lamezia
20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)