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Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Sandefjord Logo

Sandefjord

Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Fredrikstad Logo

Fredrikstad

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sandefjord host Fredrikstad in the Club Friendly. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Fredrikstad have shipped 1.46 goals a game lately, while Sandefjord have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Fredrikstad slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.50, favoring Sandefjord. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sandefjord
35%
Draws
32%
Fredrikstad
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sandefjord lately — more wins on the board than Fredrikstad.
  • Sandefjord are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sandefjord Clean Sheet 16%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandefjord Fredrikstad
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
0:0
Aug 1, 2026 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
1:0
May 25, 2026 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Eliteserien
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
0:0
Apr 21, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Sandefjord
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandefjord 48 / 100
Fredrikstad 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandefjord Fredrikstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandefjord Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sandefjord scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Sandefjord remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sandefjord VS Fredrikstad
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandefjord

(Home)
30 Sept
Flint
0 : 1
Sandefjord
20 Sept
Sandefjord
3 : 0
Start
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Sandefjord
04 Sept
Sandefjord
1 : 1
Viking
30 Aug
Sandefjord
0 : 0
Brann
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Fredrikstad

(Away)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4
Fredrikstad
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