Sport Picks
Sandefjord vs Lillestrom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Norway
Eliteserien Jotun Arena, Sandefjord 
AI Match Summary
Sandefjord host Lillestrom in the Eliteserien. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sandefjord have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Lillestrom's 1.46 scored and 1.32 conceded. Past meetings favor Sandefjord slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.00, favoring Sandefjord. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sandefjord haven't matched Lillestrom's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sandefjord | Lillestrom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sandefjord scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Lillestrom conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Sandefjord went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sandefjord
(Home)Lillestrom
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54:20 | 50 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53:19 | 50 |
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 38 |
| 4 | Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 36 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 7 | Brann | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | 25 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 23 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | 23 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | 16 |
