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Sandhausen II vs Freiberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2020/2021
Wed, May 5, 2021
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sandhausen II host Freiberg in the Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2020/2021. Freiberg go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Sandhausen II at 3 goals for, 2.5 against; Freiberg at 2.68 for, 1.49 against. Past meetings favor Freiberg slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.85 xG vs 1.43) point toward Freiberg. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sandhausen II
25%
Draws
35%
Freiberg
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sandhausen II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Freiberg lately — more wins on the board than Sandhausen II.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Freiberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sandhausen II Clean Sheet 17%
Freiberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandhausen II Freiberg
Matches Played 2 41
Wins 1 21
Draws 0 12
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 3 2.68
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2021 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Sandhausen II vs Freiberg
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiberg vs Sandhausen II
3:2
Mar 21, 2020 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Sandhausen II vs Freiberg
0:0
Sep 7, 2019 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Freiberg vs Sandhausen II
5:1
Feb 10, 2018 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Sandhausen II vs Freiberg
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandhausen II 23 / 100
Freiberg 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandhausen II Freiberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freiberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sandhausen II's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Freiberg let in goals in 63% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Sandhausen II remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Freiberg
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandhausen II

(Home)
24 Oct
Sandhausen II
4 : 2
Lorrach-Brombach
17 Oct
Freiberg
3 : 2
Sandhausen II

Freiberg

(Away)
26 Sept
Freiberg
2 : 2
Stutt. Kickers
19 Sept
Aalen
2 : 3
Freiberg
12 Sept
Freiberg
5 : 0
Mainz II
08 Sept
Sandhausen
0 : 0
Freiberg
04 Sept
Ulm
4 : 4
Freiberg
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