Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen Øster Hus Arena, Sandnes
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sundberg M.
Assist: Bruseth A.
45'
Bruseth A.
56'
Sub
Hovland E. In: Pedersen S.
Out: Hovland E.

AI Match Summary

The OBOS-ligaen game between Sandnes Ulf and Sogndal finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sandnes Ulf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sandnes Ulf
30%
Draws
23%
Sogndal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sandnes Ulf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sandnes Ulf come out ahead of Sogndal on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Sandnes Ulf taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sandnes Ulf Clean Sheet 10%
Sogndal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandnes Ulf Sogndal
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Sandnes Ulf
2:0
May 25, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal
1:0
May 11, 2024 OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal vs Sandnes Ulf
5:1
Aug 6, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandnes Ulf Compare

Top Goalscorer Sundberg M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sogndal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandnes Ulf 56 / 100
Sogndal 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandnes Ulf Sogndal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandnes Ulf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sogndal let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Sandnes Ulf's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sandnes Ulf remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sandnes Ulf VS Sogndal
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandnes Ulf

(Home)
16 Sept
Arendal
1 : 2
Sandnes Ulf
13 Sept
Stromsgodset
4 : 1
Sandnes Ulf
05 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 1
Ranheim
30 Aug
Raufoss
0 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
26 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
Page 1 of 6

Sogndal

(Away)
16 Sept
Sotra
1 : 2
Sogndal
13 Sept
Sogndal
1 : 1
Strommen
05 Sept
Haugesund
2 : 0
Sogndal
30 Aug
Sogndal
2 : 3
Stromsgodset
26 Aug
Moss
2 : 2
Sogndal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 22 16 1 5 68:37 49
2 Kongsvinger 22 14 5 3 63:34 47
3 Stromsgodset 22 13 6 3 58:31 45
4 Stabaek 22 13 3 6 55:28 42
5 Hodd 22 10 4 8 37:40 34
6 Odds BK 22 9 6 7 42:35 33
7 Bryne 22 10 2 10 28:31 32
8 Egersund 22 8 5 9 35:39 29
9 Lyn 22 8 4 10 38:44 28
10 Ranheim 22 7 4 11 52:57 25
11 Strommen 22 7 4 11 33:48 25
12 Sandnes Ulf 22 7 3 12 31:40 24
13 Sogndal 22 6 5 11 37:51 23
14 Moss 22 6 4 12 36:51 22
15 Asane 22 5 5 12 34:48 19
16 Raufoss 22 6 1 15 26:59 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)