Sport Picks

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Sandviken vs Ostersund

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jernvallen, Sandviken
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sandviken host Ostersund in the Superettan. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Sandviken have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Ostersund's 1.28 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Sandviken slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.81 - 1.00) back Ostersund to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sandviken
35%
Draws
34%
Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ostersund come out ahead of Sandviken on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sandviken Clean Sheet 20%
Ostersund Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandviken Ostersund
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.64 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Superettan
Ostersund vs Sandviken
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Superettan
Sandviken vs Ostersund
5:0
May 17, 2025 Superettan
Ostersund vs Sandviken
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Sandviken vs Ostersund
4:0
Oct 5, 2024 Superettan
Sandviken vs Ostersund
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandviken 31 / 100
Ostersund 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandviken Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandviken Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sandviken's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ostersund let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Sandviken went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sandviken VS Ostersund
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandviken

(Home)
19 Sept
Sandviken
4 : 2
Orebro
15 Sept
Brage
1 : 1
Sandviken
09 Sept
Sandviken
0 : 1
Oddevold
05 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 2
Sandviken
30 Aug
Sandviken
1 : 1
Oster
Page 1 of 6

Ostersund

(Away)
18 Sept
Falkenberg
0 : 0
Ostersund
14 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 1
Brage
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1
Ostersund
29 Aug
Landskrona
1 : 1
Ostersund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)