Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sandviken vs Varnamo

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Jernvallen, Sandviken
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Sub
Raudonis A. In: Coulibaly S.
Out: Raudonis A.
52'
Sub
Ohlsson S. In: Bjornstrom A.
Out: Ohlsson S.
65'
Sub
Harletun K. In: Thorn G.
Out: Harletun K.

AI Match Summary

Varnamo in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varnamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sandviken
11%
Draws
9%
Varnamo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sandviken

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sandviken lately — more wins on the board than Varnamo.
  • Win probability leans Sandviken's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sandviken Clean Sheet 20%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sandviken Varnamo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Superettan
Sandviken vs Varnamo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sandviken Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Varnamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonsson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sandviken 76 / 100
Varnamo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sandviken Varnamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varnamo conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Sandviken scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Sandviken has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Varnamo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sandviken VS Varnamo
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sandviken

(Home)
26 Jul
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Sandviken
19 Jul
Norrkoping
3 : 0
Sandviken
28 Jun
Sandviken
4 : 2
Helsingborg
22 Jun
Orebro
1 : 1
Sandviken
14 Jun
Sandviken
3 : 2
Brage
Page 1 of 6

Varnamo

(Away)
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
19 Jul
Varnamo
2 : 3
Ljungskile
13 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 2
Naestved IF
28 Jun
Landskrona
1 : 0
Varnamo
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norrkoping16102427:1032
2Falkenberg1694332:2431
3Varberg1693432:2230
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Nordic United1675426:2326
6Oster1682627:2526
7Landskrona1674522:1725
8Helsingborg1673630:3224
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1656528:2621
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1636713:2215
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)