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Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokushima

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup 2023 Hiroshima Big Arch, Hiroshima
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ben Khalifa N.
9'
Sub
Ishitsu K. In: Hattori S.
Out: Ishitsu K.
14'
Yamamoto N.

AI Match Summary

Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this Emperors Cup 2023 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6%
Draws
4%
FC Tokushima
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Tokushima haven't matched Sanfrecce Hiroshima's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sanfrecce Hiroshima taking it.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 68%
FC Tokushima Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima FC Tokushima
Matches Played 29 3
Wins 17 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2023 Emperors Cup
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tokushima
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Khalifa N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nakano S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Tokushima Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 95 / 100
FC Tokushima 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanfrecce Hiroshima FC Tokushima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanfrecce Hiroshima found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

FC Tokushima has conceded goals in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Sanfrecce Hiroshima remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanfrecce Hiroshima VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Home)
28 Jul
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0
Verspah Oita
14 Jul
Slaven Belupo
1 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
11 Jul
Sturm Graz
5 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
06 Jun
Kawasaki Frontale
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
30 May
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2 : 1
Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 6

FC Tokushima

(Away)
25 May
Fukuyama City
2 : 1
FC Tokushima
07 Jun
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
5 : 0
FC Tokushima
11 Nov
Kochi United
2 : 1
FC Tokushima

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos2
Urayasu SC0
Kanazawa2
Machida Zelvia3
Kyoto2
Toyama3
Albirex Niigata1
Reilac Shiga0
Kawasaki Frontale3
Tochigi City1
Mito1
Renofa Yamaguchi0
Gamba Osaka1
Kochi United2
Yokohama FC4
Iwate Grulla Morioka1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima5
FC Tokushima0
Blaublitz1
Tochigi SC2
Avispa Fukuoka2
Imabari0
Shimizu S-Pulse1
Gifu2
Cerezo Osaka5
Cento Cuore Harima0
Chiba0
Omiya Ardija1
Shonan Bellmare6
BTOP Hokkaido1
Okayama2
Giravanz Kitakyushu1
FC Tokyo3
Fukushima United1
Verdy2
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Sagan Tosu5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki1
Kumamoto3
Ryukyu2
Kashima Antlers3
Honda FC0
V-Varen Nagasaki0
Kofu1
Vissel Kobe3
Nagano Parceiro1
Iwata2
Kamatamare Sanuki0
Kashiwa Reysol7
Yamanashi Gakuin1
Tokushima2
Iwaki1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo3
SC Sagamihara0
Oita Trinita0
Verspah Oita1
Nagoya Grampus3
Veertien Mie2
Vegalta Sendai1
Fujieda MYFC0
Urawa Reds1
Kansai0
Montedio Yamagata1
Sony Sendai0
1/16-finals
Yokohama F. Marinos1
Machida Zelvia4
Toyama3
Albirex Niigata4
Kawasaki Frontale2
Mito1
Kochi United1
Yokohama FC0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0
Tochigi SC2
Avispa Fukuoka2
Gifu1
Cerezo Osaka3
Omiya Ardija1
Shonan Bellmare2
Okayama0
FC Tokyo2
Verdy1
Sagan Tosu3
Kumamoto4
Kashima Antlers1
Kofu2
Vissel Kobe5
Iwata2
Kashiwa Reysol2
Tokushima0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo5
Verspah Oita2
Nagoya Grampus2
Vegalta Sendai1
Urawa Reds1
Montedio Yamagata0
1/8-finals
Machida Zelvia0
Albirex Niigata1
Kawasaki Frontale1
Kochi United0
Tochigi SC2
Avispa Fukuoka4
Cerezo Osaka1
Shonan Bellmare2
FC Tokyo0
Kumamoto2
Kofu1
Vissel Kobe4
Kashiwa Reysol1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo0
Nagoya Grampus3
Urawa Reds0
Quarter-finals
Albirex Niigata2
Kawasaki Frontale3
Avispa Fukuoka3
Shonan Bellmare1
Kumamoto2
Vissel Kobe1
Kashiwa Reysol2
Nagoya Grampus0
Semi-finals
Kawasaki Frontale4
Avispa Fukuoka2
Kumamoto0
Kashiwa Reysol4
Final
Kawasaki Frontale1
Kashiwa Reysol0