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Stadium Background

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Okinawa

Japan Japan

Emperors Cup 2019 Hiroshima Big Arch, Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Logo

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

4 - 0
FT
Okinawa Logo

Okinawa

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Higashi S.
81' Event
Matsumoto H.
84' Event
Patric
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this Emperors Cup 2019 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
15%
Draws
28%
Okinawa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won more games recently than Okinawa.
  • Model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 68%
Okinawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanfrecce Hiroshima Okinawa
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 18 2
Draws 2 0
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.14 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.1 3.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Okinawa
4:1
Jul 3, 2019 Emperors Cup
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Okinawa
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare

Top Goalscorer Patric
2 Goals
Assists Leader Higashi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Okinawa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 95 / 100
Okinawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Okinawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanfrecce Hiroshima's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Okinawa conceded in 100% of 10 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sanfrecce Hiroshima VS Okinawa
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Home)
29 Sept
Tochigi City
0 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 6

Okinawa

(Away)
26 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 1
Okinawa
19 Aug
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 2
Okinawa
16 Jan
Okinawa
1 : 6
Kyoto
11 Jun
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 0
Okinawa
25 May
Okinawa
4 : 1
Verspah Oita
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Vissel Kobe 4
Giravanz Kitakyushu 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Omiya Ardija 2
Okayama 3
Chiba 0
Meiji University 0
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 0
Albirex Niigata 0
Kanazawa 1
National Institute of Fitness and Sports in Kanoya 3
Nagoya Grampus 0
Gainare Tottori 1
Oita Trinita 4
Sagan Tosu 2
Kumamoto 1
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Renofa Yamaguchi 2
Ryukyu 1
Arterivo Wakayama 1
Cerezo Osaka 3
Iwata 5
Honda Lock 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 2
Vanraure 3
Avispa Fukuoka 2
Kagoshima United 1
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Kashima Antlers 3
Hokuriku 1
Montedio Yamagata 1
Tochigi SC 2
Yokohama FC 2
Sendai University 1
Ritsumeikan Ritsumeikan University 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Urawa Reds 2
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Kyoto 0
Mito 1
Tokushima 1
Ehime 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2
Honda FC 4
V-Varen Nagasaki 2
Kochi United 1
Shonan Bellmare 0
Veertien Mie 4
Toyama 1
Machida Zelvia 0
FC Osaka 1
Vegalta Sendai 4
Hosei 2
Verdy 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Gamba Osaka 7
FC Tokyo 1
Toin University 0
Gifu 2
Kofu 3
1/16-finals
Vissel Kobe 4
Omiya Ardija 0
Okayama 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Kanazawa 1
National Institute of Fitness and Sports in Kanoya 1
Oita Trinita 2
Sagan Tosu 1
Kashiwa Reysol 0
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Iwata 6
Vanraure 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Kashima Antlers 4
Tochigi SC 0
Yokohama FC 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Urawa Reds 2
Mito 1
Tokushima 0
Honda FC 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Veertien Mie 2
Toyama 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Hosei 2
Gamba Osaka 0
FC Tokyo 0
Kofu 1
1/8-finals
Vissel Kobe 3
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Oita Trinita 2
Sagan Tosu 4
Cerezo Osaka 2
Iwata 1
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kashima Antlers 4
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Urawa Reds 0
Honda FC 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 2
Vegalta Sendai 1
Hosei 1
Kofu 2
Quarter-finals
Vissel Kobe 1
Oita Trinita 0
Sagan Tosu 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Kashima Antlers 1
Honda FC 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 2
Kofu 1
Semi-finals
Vissel Kobe 3
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Kashima Antlers 3
V-Varen Nagasaki 2
Final
Vissel Kobe 2
Kashima Antlers 0