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Sanga Balende vs Mazembe

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Sanga Balende and Mazembe finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Sanga Balende
17%
Draws
70%
Mazembe
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Sanga Balende haven't matched Mazembe's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mazembe's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Sanga Balende Clean Sheet 10%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanga Balende Mazembe
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 23
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Mazembe
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Sanga Balende
3:0
Jul 2, 2025 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Mazembe
0:0
Jun 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs Sanga Balende
3:0
Apr 15, 2025 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Mazembe
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanga Balende 14 / 100
Mazembe 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanga Balende Mazembe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sanga Balende scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Sanga Balende has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mazembe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 26% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sanga Balende VS Mazembe
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00