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Sanga Balende vs Simba

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Sanga Balende and Simba finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sanga Balende
20%
Draws
29%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanga Balende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Simba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Sanga Balende taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Sanga Balende Clean Sheet 20%
Simba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sanga Balende Simba
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.83 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Simba
0:2
Nov 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Sanga Balende
1:0
Jun 10, 2025 Ligue 1
Simba vs Sanga Balende
1:0
May 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Simba
1:1
Mar 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Simba
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanga Balende 49 / 100
Simba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sanga Balende Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanga Balende Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sanga Balende scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Simba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 38 matches.

Sanga Balende has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sanga Balende VS Simba
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sanga Balende

(Home)
22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2
Sanga Balende
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1
Sanga Balende
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0
Tshinkunku
22 Mar
Sanga Balende
0 : 2
Simba
14 Mar
New Soger
0 : 1
Sanga Balende
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
22 Aug
Simba
0 : 0
Power Dynamos
21 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Red Arrows
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
Simba
0 : 0
AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)