Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 game between Sanga Balende and Tshinkunku finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sanga Balende.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sanga Balende
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Sanga Balende carry the better recent record into this one.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Sanga Balende taking it.
- Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sanga Balende here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Sanga Balende Clean Sheet 20%
Tshinkunku Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sanga Balende | Tshinkunku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Tshinkunku
1:0
Jan 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Sanga Balende
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Tshinkunku
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Sanga Balende
0:1
May 9, 2024 Ligue 1
Sanga Balende vs Tshinkunku
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sanga Balende 85 / 100
Tshinkunku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sanga Balende Tshinkunku
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sanga Balende Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sanga Balende's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Tshinkunku has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Sanga Balende went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tshinkunku's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sanga Balende VS Tshinkunku
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sanga Balende
(Home) 22 Apr
Malole
1 : 2 Sanga Balende
08 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 1 Sanga Balende
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
22 Mar
Sanga Balende
0 : 2 Simba
14 Mar
New Soger
0 : 1 Sanga Balende
Page 1 of 6
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
22 Mar
Sanga Balende
0 : 2 Simba
07 Mar
Sanga Balende
2 : 0 US Panda
22 Feb
Sanga Balende
0 : 1 Groupe Bazano
16 Feb
Sanga Balende
0 : 0 Don Bosco
Page 1 of 3
Tshinkunku
(Away) 15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2 Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1 Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6
15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2 Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1 Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
11 Feb
Tshikas
0 : 1 Tshinkunku
01 Feb
Saint-Luc
1 : 0 Tshinkunku
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
