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Sangiovannese vs San Donato Tavarnelle

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Borgarello M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Sangiovannese and San Donato Tavarnelle finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Donato Tavarnelle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sangiovannese
28%
Draws
50%
San Donato Tavarnelle
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: San Donato Tavarnelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sangiovannese have managed 0 goals a game lately — San Donato Tavarnelle are scoring more at 0.5.
  • Win probability leans San Donato Tavarnelle's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and San Donato Tavarnelle have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 26%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiovannese San Donato Tavarnelle
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 13
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Sangiovannese
1:0
Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Sangiovannese
1:2
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Sangiovannese vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:1
Aug 13, 2022 Club Friendly
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Sangiovannese
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiovannese Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

San Donato Tavarnelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Borgarello M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiovannese 25 / 100
San Donato Tavarnelle 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiovannese San Donato Tavarnelle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Donato Tavarnelle let in goals in 68% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sangiovannese scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sangiovannese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS San Donato Tavarnelle
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Livorno34219474:4472
2Fulgens Foligno34179861:4460
3Seravezza Pozzi341611753:3959
4Ghiviborgo341741365:5755
5Orvietana341581144:4153
6Siena3414101035:3252
7Grosseto3413111039:3450
8Ostiamare341291349:5345
9Poggibonsi341271532:3643
10San Donato Tavarnelle3411101326:2643
11Montevarchi349141136:3941
12Flaminia3410101442:4340
13Follonica Gavorrano3410101440:4540
14Terranuova Traiana348151134:4739
15Figline349111429:3338
16Sporting Trestina349111435:4538
17Sangiovannese34991630:3836
18Fezzanese34682035:6326