Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sangiovannese vs Villabiagio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sangiovannese in this Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sangiovannese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sangiovannese
35%
Draws
49%
Villabiagio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villabiagio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Villabiagio have won more games recently than Sangiovannese.
  • Model gives Sangiovannese a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sangiovannese Clean Sheet 20%
Villabiagio Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiovannese Villabiagio
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Sangiovannese vs Villabiagio
2:1
Nov 5, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Villabiagio vs Sangiovannese
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiovannese 36 / 100
Villabiagio 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiovannese Villabiagio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villabiagio has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sangiovannese's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Sangiovannese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sangiovannese VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiovannese

(Home)
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3
Scandicci
09 Aug
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
San Donato Tavarnelle
04 May
Sangiovannese
0 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
27 Apr
Flaminia
1 : 0
Sangiovannese
17 Apr
Sangiovannese
2 : 2
Livorno
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Villabiagio

(Away)
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3
Villabiagio
29 Apr
Villabiagio
0 : 0
Imolese
22 Apr
Lentigione
4 : 0
Villabiagio
15 Apr
Villabiagio
2 : 2
Sammaurese
08 Apr
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Villabiagio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)