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Sangiuliano City vs Cittadella Vis Modena

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Sala F.

AI Match Summary

Cittadella Vis Modena in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittadella Vis Modena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sangiuliano City
20%
Draws
51%
Cittadella Vis Modena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella Vis Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sangiuliano City lately — more wins on the board than Cittadella Vis Modena.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 19%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sangiuliano City Cittadella Vis Modena
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.2 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Sangiuliano City
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sangiuliano City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cittadella Vis Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Sala F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sangiuliano City 32 / 100
Cittadella Vis Modena 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sangiuliano City Cittadella Vis Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Vis Modena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sangiuliano City scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cittadella Vis Modena has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Sangiuliano City remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sangiuliano City VS Cittadella Vis Modena
1.14 Goals Scored 0.63
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sangiuliano City

(Home)
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5
Desenzano Calvina
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
02 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 3
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

Cittadella Vis Modena

(Away)
27 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 1
Correggese
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2
Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)